MARCH 9 2013: MANTRALAYA FOURTH FLOOR FIRE AT 1156 AM IST
We should not be so quickly judgmental in our comments. Our competent engineers and learned people are also in the various enterprises, both state and private. If you meet and talk to some of them you will quickly realise that you are probably in safe hands. But we are in a society of specialists and these designs are based on expertise which may only be semi prudent in modern civilization which is based on false foundations. Assuming that all precautions had been taken,we cannot rule out the shortcomings of the paradigm presently ruling the roost. The cumulative effects of modern civilization are causing many a design and process to go far beyond the design basis envelope. Dams of the world are found to cause surges of force and bending moment which are of the same ball park magnitude as tectonic forces and the cumulative effects could have easily caused the fourth floor fire. The surges would have caused the foundations of Mantralaya to be heated up to such an extent that the steel frame of the building would have conducted the heat to the fourth floor drums or the electric wires- and presto, the fire and the blaze! At the time of the blaze, the dam surges were passing through Mantralaya from an earthquake at Potosi, Bolivia, to an earthquake in the Adriatic Sea. The time of arrival of the surge coincides with the time of the blaze(Mumbai local Time= UTC + 530)! This is not an isolated instance of process and design failures being experienced at the ground level of the infratructures of modern civilization.
The time line data:
Date Time Latitude Longitude Depth,km Magnitude of Quake,MM Region
|2013-03-09 05:47:54.8||21.83||S||66.44||W||300||4.1||POTOSI, BOLIVIA|
2013-03-09 06:58:10 42.85 N 17.48 E 10 3.5 ADRIATIC SEA
The distance from Potosi, Bolivia to Adriatic Sea is 11158 km. The distance from Potosi, Bolivia to Mantralaya, Mumbai on the same route is 5374 km.
The time taken for the dam surges to travel from Potosi, Bolivia to the Adriatic Sea is the difference,A, between the time of earthquake at Adriatic Sea and that of the quake at potosi, Bolivia and is 1 hr 10m 15.2s.
Thus the time taken for the surges to arrive at Mantralaya is T=
(Distance Potosi to Adriatic Sea/Distance Potosi to Mantralaya)x ( A) or
(5374/11158)x(1hr 10m 15.2s)= 0.56 hr
The time of arrival of the surge at Mantralaya is thus the time of Potosi quake+ T= 6h 21m 45s.
DNA newsreport cites 1212 PM for the time of the fire while Indian Express cites 1140 AM. Let us take the mean of these two which is 11h 56m IST or 6h 26m UTC.
It is thus reasonable that the blaze aoccurred with the arrival of the dam surge at Mantralaya.
See all the articles in Collaterals of Climate Change for favourable instances of the conclusion that dam surges are the culprit for the failures of modern designs and processes.